Strategy Advice for NBA Prop Betting
Most Australian and US betting websites provide different NBA betting markets for every game. One of the most interesting and sometimes lucrative is the basketball players' performance betting markets. Apart from the game's superstars, most of the player's statistics fluctuate a significant amount every night. So, if you can determine when it is or isn't going to be a player's night, you can take advantage of the player's performance in the NBA prop markets. These are some tips to help you make your own decision about prop betting on player performance markets.
A few players will be given an under/over for a specific statistic. This could be points, rebounds, assists or a combination of several of these. Usually, the line is set around their season average for that specific star; for example, Luka Doncic's season average for points 28.8, so bookmakers may set his points line at 28.5. Some key factors can also affect a player's performance, such as whether they have a good or bad night. If something happens, the bookmakers have enough experience to adjust their lines. Still, sometimes, they go unseen, and, on a few occasions, you get a small window to jump on before they get updated.
Injury
The primary factor is injury. When a leading player in the team suffers from an injury, the bookmakers think that their replacement in the starting line-up must get most of their production. While the stats will increase with the replacement, at least two players from the starting lineup will see an additional boost in production. This will allow them to reach the over or vice versa when an injured player returns. An excellent case is when point guard Chris Paul left with an injury and Austin Rivers, his replacement in the starting line-up, receive a remarkable increase but also the likes of J.J. Reddick and Jamal Crawford improve their points and assist numbers in Chris's absence. These guys often go unnoticed by the bookmakers.
Matchups
Matchups are another important aspect of prop betting. Matchups are another important aspect of prop betting. Few teams can defend certain positions well and give production to others. https://netflixmatch.me/to-bet-or-not-to-bet-thats-the-question/ Usually, it is a safe bet in steering clear of the overs when your player is playing against teams like the Grizzlies or Spurs. They are able to defend all positions well and rarely allow one player to dominate the game. The Boston Celtics are a team worth watching. Avery Bradley and Marcus Smart can protect the guard positions well, but they are also the worst rebounding team. Andre Drummond was the top rebounder, with a rebounding average of 14.5, and claimed 22 against the Celtics. This can make it a win for the overs. The best thing to do when involving in such betting is to study the team stats and defense vs positions. There are various sites where you can get all the information.